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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Frosinone

Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Frosinone

Lazio's inconsistency means while they may be favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. The visitors Frosinone are in the midst of a rut though, so this will be a tough task, especially because they have been poor on the road this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawFrosinone
58.19% (-0.12 -0.12) 23.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 18.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03)50.81% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)17.19% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)47.46% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.128 0.13)41.46% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.113 0.11)77.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.18%
    Frosinone 18.54%
    Draw 23.26%
LazioDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Lazio vs Frosinone

Lazio
81.1%
Draw
12.6%
Frosinone
6.3%
95
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
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5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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