We said: Bourgoin-Jallieu 0-2 Lyon
While the hosts have enjoyed a straightforward path to this stage of the competition, the visitors present their toughest challenge yet.
Bourgoin-Jallieu will aim to prove they are no pushovers, but they are expected to struggle against a Lyon side accustomed to progressing from this round - making an away win the likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 86.09%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Bourgoin-Jallieu had a probability of 4.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 0-4 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for a Bourgoin-Jallieu win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.