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Lorient logo
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lens logo

Lorient
1 - 1
Lens

Le Fee (84')
FT
(aet)
Fulgini (21')
Poreba (50'), Boura (60'), Onana (82')
Lens win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Lorient and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Angers
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We say: Lorient 0-1 Lens

 Much of Lorient's domestic success this season centred around Moffi, and with the Nigerian off to Nice, we expect they will have a difficult time finding someone else to replace his quality in the attacking third. Lens, meanwhile, are as tough to break down as any side in Ligue 1, conceding the fewest goals domestically thus far (16), and although their form has dropped a little, we anticipate they will frustrate Lorient and eventually find a breakthrough in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.59%).

Result
LorientDrawLens
17.58% (-0.194 -0.19) 22.09% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 60.32% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)47.41% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.63% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-0.291 -0.29)40.58% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (-0.264 -0.26)77.18% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.048000000000002 0.05)15.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (0.088000000000001 0.09)43.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 17.58%
    Lens 60.31%
    Draw 22.08%
LorientDrawLens
1-0 @ 5.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.74% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 17.58%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.94% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.85% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.22% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 60.31%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lens

Lorient
23.4%
Draw
13.7%
Lens
62.9%
124
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Lens
5-2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Lorient
2-3
Lens
Grbic (14'), Wissa (90+2' pen.)
Boisgard (6'), Laporte (30'), Diarra (45'), Le Fee (65')
Kakuta (31' pen.), Medina (34'), Ganago (63')
Cahuzac (49'), Bade (79')
Bade (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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