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Dover Athletic
National League | Gameweek 46
May 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crabble Athletic Ground
Weymouth

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Weymouth

Nelson (76')
Woods (9'), Krasniqi (58'), Collinge (80'), Wilkinson (88'), (90+3'), (90+3')
(90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goodship (9' pen.), Blair (90+5')
Mnoga (36')

Preview: Dover Athletic vs. Weymouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Dover Athletic and Weymouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A clash between the National League's two worst teams, Dover Athletic will welcome Weymouth to the Crabble Stadium in the knowledge they will not finish the season on minus points.

Sitting on the singular point in the National League table, Dover will be keen to snatch just their third victory of the campaign on the final day.


Match preview

OPED Generic Football A

Starting the campaign with a tally of minus 12 points, Dover's abject season is finally due to come to an end with Sunday's home clash against Weymouth.

Even without the deduction, Dover's tally of 13 points this season would have still seen them comfortably finish bottom of the table.

Just two wins to date has represented a miserable season for Dover, who hold the record for the most defeats and the least wins in the league so far.

Aiming to end the campaign with three wins to their name, Dover will welcome a Weymouth side who have also been relegated to the sixth tier.

While somewhat better than Dover's offering this season, Weymouth's tally of 25 points for the season is only higher than their bottom-placed weekend opponents.

Last victorious in mid-February, a run of 15 matches without a win has led to Weymouth's inevitable relegation, as they eye up a final-day victory to lessen the blow of demotion to the National League South.

However, if history is anything to go by, a Weymouth win looks unlikely, as Dover have tasted victory in three of the previous four head-to-head meetings between the two.

Dover Athletic National League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Weymouth National League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L


Team News

One of the standout performers in the Weymouth ranks this season has been Josh McQuoid, who has netted eight times for the Terras this season.

McQuoid was not involved last weekend, but could feature for the visitors, with dynamic midfielder Omar Mussa hoping to provide creativity just behind.

Positives for Dover have been few and far between this season and goalkeeper Alexis Andre Jr will be hoping to end the campaign on a high with a clean sheet against relegated opposition in Weymouth.

Michael Gyasi has top-scored for Dover with five goals so far this season, and the German-born forward should feature for the hosts this weekend.

Dover Athletic possible starting lineup:
Andre; Goodman, Collinge, Wilkinson, Woods; Judd, Hanson, Baptiste, Krasniqi; Gyasi, Ransom

Weymouth possible starting lineup:
Fitzsimons; Cordner, Harfield, Robinson, McBurnie; Carlyle, Mussa, Blair, Bearwish; Rose, Shields


SM words green background

We say: Dover Athletic 1-1 Weymouth

A torrid season is finally coming to and end for both clubs, whose attention will no doubt have already switched to finding a way to challenge in the National League South next time around.

These two sides will meet each other next season, but do not expect a classic in the final game of this campaign, with a score draw likely at the Crabble.



Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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