Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Derby County and Chesterfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Derby
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Chesterfield |
49.24% ( -0) | 23.53% ( 0) | 27.23% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.39% ( -0) | 42.6% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( -0) | 65.01% ( 0) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% | 17.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.08% ( -0) | 47.91% ( 0) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( -0) | 28.9% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% | 64.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County 49.24%
Chesterfield 27.23%
Draw 23.52%
Derby County | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.23% |
How you voted: Derby vs Chesterfield
Derby County
88.9%Draw
0.0%Chesterfield
11.1%9
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 7.30pm
Jul 26, 2016 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Fourth Round
Derby
2-0
Chesterfield
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-24 14:25:56
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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