MX23RW : Wednesday, September 11 10:55:56| >> :600:294819:294819:
Derby logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Chesterfield

Derby
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Thompson (38'), Jackson (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dobra (29')
Daley-Campbell (86')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Derby County and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Derby
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawChesterfield
49.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.53% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)42.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55%17.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.24%
    Chesterfield 27.23%
    Draw 23.52%
Derby CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.23%

How you voted: Derby vs Chesterfield

Derby County
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Chesterfield
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 7.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Chesterfield
4-0
Derby
Banks (41'), Grigg (44'), Berry (79', 82')
Jul 26, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Chesterfield
1-2
Derby
O'Shea (57')
Bent (52'), Rawson (66')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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