Liverpool

3 - 1

Leicester

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.