EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford5 - 0MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Watford 1-1 MK Dons (MK Dons win on penalties)
Although Watford are two divisions higher than their opponents, the Dons do have a favourable record in recent matches against the Hornets. Additionally, considering the home side have lost their last three games in the EFL Cup, it is reasonable to assume they could struggle again on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | MK Dons |
35.92% ( 0.12) | 24.17% ( 0.01) | 39.9% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.68% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% ( -0.03) | 41.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% ( -0.03) | 64.24% ( 0.03) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( 0.05) | 23.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( 0.07) | 56.95% ( -0.08) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( -0.08) | 21.09% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% ( -0.12) | 53.92% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Watford 35.92%
MK Dons 39.9%
Draw 24.17%
Watford | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.9% |
How you voted: Watford vs MK Dons
Watford
86.5%Draw
9.6%MK Dons
3.8%52
Head to Head
Dec 4, 1999 3pm
Aug 7, 1999 3pm
Watford
2-3
MK Dons
Kennedy (17' pen.), Ngonge (71')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-11 09:57:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
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