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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
1 - 5
Crawley

Dean (45+1')
Williams (61'), Williams (83'), Dean (90+5'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (3'), Orsi (30', 48', 90+2'), Roles (80')
Lolos (40'), Tucker (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 3-1 Crawley Town (Crawley Town win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Considering MK Dons' stellar record on home turf this season, it is hard to imagine the Dons failing to stage some level of comeback this weekend. That being said, Crawley have put themselves in an excellent position to advance into the Wembley final, and we reckon that the Red Devils will narrowly get over the line in Buckinghamshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
48.61% (0.0049999999999955 0) 22.19% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)34.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (-0.012 -0.01)56.74% (0.012 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)43% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)57.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 48.61%
    Crawley Town 29.2%
    Draw 22.19%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.07%
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
57.5%
Draw
17.5%
Crawley Town
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 7, 2024 7.30pm
Crawley
3-0
MK Dons
Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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