EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Barrow3 - 0Aston Villa U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Leicester U21s 3-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Barrow 1-2 Aston Villa Under-21s
While Barrow will boast more first-team nous and experience, their motivation will be relatively low given the circumstances. Therefore, a talented Aston Villa Under-21s team can complete Group D unbeaten by taking maximum points back to Birmingham. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
57.36% ( -0.87) | 20.96% ( 0.32) | 21.68% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
