MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:11:10| >> :600:1175294:1175294:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Adeboyejo (79')
Johnston (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mulley (33')
Zych (40'), Barnes (49'), Amundsen-Day (77'), Zych (95')
Aston Villa U21s win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Aston Villa Under-21s

The points could be shared in Bolton, as the home side may be fatigued from negotiating a frantic fixture list since midway through September, allowing Villa's young guns to secure a draw. The visitors may have leaked lots of goals this season, but they will be aided by a special guest star - and they pose a significant threat up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
69.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 15.63% (0.017999999999999 0.02) 14.68% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)21.99% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.11% (-0.163 -0.16)40.88% (0.166 0.17)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)5.82% (0.0299 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.62% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)27.68% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.127 -0.13)63.24% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.69%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 14.68%
    Draw 15.63%
Bolton WanderersDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 69.69%
1-1 @ 5.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.63%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Bolton vs Aston Villa U21s

Bolton Wanderers
67.6%
Draw
23.5%
Aston Villa Under-21s
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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