Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.