Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjondalen would win this match.