Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
