Ajax

3 - 1

Midtjylland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.