MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:45:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
PSV

Excelsior
0 - 2
PSV


Baas (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (58'), Bakayoko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

After the weekend's disappointment in Nijmegen, PSV will be raring to get back to winning ways versus an Excelsior side who are in the midst of a concerning winless spell. The Kralingers have failed to win their last four Eredivisie home matches, and we are fully expecting that statistic to stretch to five matches on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
12.66% (-0.327 -0.33) 16.74% (-0.035 -0.04) 70.6% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.934 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (-0.694 -0.69)32.88% (0.695 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)54.59% (0.804 0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.954 -0.95)38.02% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.934 -0.93)74.79% (0.93599999999999 0.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)8.29% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.07% (-0.239 -0.24)28.93% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 12.66%
    PSV Eindhoven 70.6%
    Draw 16.74%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.66%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.11% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.05% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.6%

How you voted: Excelsior vs PSV

SBV Excelsior
4.5%
Draw
15.9%
PSV Eindhoven
79.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
3-1
Excelsior
De Jong (13', 17', 69')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
PSV
4-0
Excelsior
De Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
0-2
PSV
Bergwijn (8', 54')
Lozano (24')
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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