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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
30.92% ( 1.28) | 23.19% ( 0.27) | 45.88% ( -1.55) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0.58) | 38.67% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.02% ( -0.61) | 60.97% ( 0.61) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( 0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( 0.71) | 58.88% ( -0.71) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( -0.81) | 17.22% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% ( -1.44) | 47.51% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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