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Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 2
Almere City


Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robinet (80'), van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Almere City

Both sides have struggled from an attacking point of view so far this season, scoring just four goals in their opening six games, so Saturday's match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. However, given that they have home advantage, we expect a narrow victory for the hosts, which could move them out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
52.8% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.24% (0.112 0.11) 23.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.493 -0.49)44.18% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.483 -0.48)66.56% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.226 -0.23)16.72% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (-0.401 -0.4)46.63% (0.397 0.4)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.259 -0.26)32.32% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-0.296 -0.3)68.82% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 52.8%
    Almere City 23.95%
    Draw 23.24%
FC UtrechtDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.95%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Almere City

FC Utrecht
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Almere City
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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