Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen3 - 0Utrecht
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-2 FC Utrecht
Under new management, Utrecht took a positive step with a fine win on the road last week, and they may do so again here with the changes Jans has come in and made. The hosts have shown no real consistency, already losing three of their opening five games, and that run could continue here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
47.13% ( 0.01) | 23.03% ( -0.01) | 29.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
