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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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Fortuna Sittard
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NAC Breda
NEC
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Willem II
FC Volendam
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Kras Stadion
Excelsior

Volendam
3 - 1
Excelsior

Benamar (53'), Muhren (57'), de Haan (71')
Ould-Chikh (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Driouech (33')
Parrott (70'), Horemans (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 Volendam
Saturday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Volendam 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Volendam have struggled for goals all-season long, but we can see them finding the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.

Result
FC VolendamDrawSBV Excelsior
41.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 34.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.02% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)43.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.050999999999995 0.05)66.25% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)21.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (0.058 0.06)54.36% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (0.012999999999991 0.01)24.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.56% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Volendam 41.14%
    SBV Excelsior 34.32%
    Draw 24.54%
FC VolendamDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Volendam vs Excelsior

FC Volendam
25.0%
Draw
45.0%
SBV Excelsior
30.0%
20
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Volendam
3-2
Excelsior
Van Mieghem (10'), Van Gassel (23' og.), Antonucci (27')
Lamprou (56'), Agrafiotis (78')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-0
Volendam
Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
1-1
Volendam
Dallinga (40')
Muhren (45+1')
Twigt (5'), Kasius (42')
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Volendam
0-2
Excelsior
Niemeijer (82'), Wieffer (90+6')
Niemeijer (27'), Baas (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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