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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Volendam
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Kras Stadion
Excelsior

Volendam
3 - 2
Excelsior

van Mieghem (10'), van Gassel (23' og.), Antonucci (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lamprou (56'), Agrafiotis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Volendam
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Sittard
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Volendam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

Volendam are at their best when playing on home soil, while their opponents have conceded three or more goals away from home on eight occasions over this campaign. All of that to say, we believe Volendam are due to end their lengthy winless drought against Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 53%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.

Result
FC VolendamDrawSBV Excelsior
53% (0.459 0.46) 22.88% (-0.152 -0.15) 24.12% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.376 0.38)42.41% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.375 0.38)64.82% (-0.375 -0.38)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (0.298 0.3)16.01% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (0.539 0.54)45.34% (-0.538 -0.54)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)31.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.57% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    FC Volendam 53%
    SBV Excelsior 24.12%
    Draw 22.88%
FC VolendamDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 53%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Volendam vs Excelsior

FC Volendam
100%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-0
Volendam
Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
El Yaakoubi (75')

Plat (68')
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 30
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 3
Excelsior
1-1
Volendam
Dallinga (40')
Muhren (45+1')
Twigt (5'), Kasius (42')
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 23
Volendam
0-2
Excelsior
Niemeijer (82'), Wieffer (90+6')
Niemeijer (27'), Baas (31')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 15
Excelsior
2-3
Volendam
Bruins (17'), Horemans (32')
Deul (14', 88'), Kaars (39')
Ben Sallam (40'), Vlak (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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