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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Feyenoord had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Feyenoord win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
63.27% ( -2.21) | 18.4% ( 1.31) | 18.32% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 65.18% ( -3.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.18% ( -5.01) | 28.82% ( 5.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.24% ( -6.41) | 49.76% ( 6.41) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.19% ( -1.8) | 8.81% ( 1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.79% ( -4.57) | 30.21% ( 4.57) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( -2.4) | 28.53% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( -3.11) | 64.31% ( 3.11) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.95) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 1.24) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.54) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.56) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.5) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.43) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.34) Other @ 4.51% Total : 63.27% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.33) Other @ 3.94% Total : 18.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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