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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
0 - 2
Ajax


Clement (25'), van Aanholt (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (77' pen.), Traore (87')
Henderson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Telstar
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax

 Sparta Rotterdam have been very poor this season, particularly on their home patch, where they have not won a single league game this term and are now at risk of a fourth loss in succession. Ajax, on the other hand, have lost only one of their last seven on the road, and we feel they will improve that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
30.47% (-0.328 -0.33) 23.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 46.17% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (-0.125 -0.13)39.69% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95% (-0.13 -0.13)62.04% (0.126 0.13)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)25.22% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.36300000000001 -0.36)59.96% (0.36 0.36)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (0.081999999999994 0.08)17.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (0.147 0.15)48.02% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 30.47%
    Ajax 46.17%
    Draw 23.35%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 46.17%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
11.9%
Draw
4.8%
Ajax
83.3%
42
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Sparta
2-2
Ajax
Verschueren (28', 47')
Akpom (65'), Bergwijn (88')
Taylor (89')
Kaplan (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Brobbey (8'), Bergwijn (42' pen.)
Neghli (55')
de Guzman (68')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
4-0
Sparta
Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax20153243182548
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4AZ AlkmaarAZ21114636211537
5Feyenoord20106443261736
6FC Twente20105541271435
7Go Ahead Eagles209563730732
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II2165102430-623
14Heracles214982437-1321
15Groningen2156101730-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta214891929-1020
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2135132645-1914
18Almere CityAlmere City2024141143-3210
> Eredivisie Full Table


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