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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
36.48% (![]() | 25.56% (![]() | 37.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% (![]() | 48.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% (![]() | 70.39% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% (![]() | 25.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% (![]() | 60.67% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% (![]() | 24.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.44% (![]() | 59.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 8.71% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |