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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.43%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 1.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.74%) and 2-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.39%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
93.43% | 5.02% | 1.55% |
Both teams to score 34.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.76% | 39.25% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.75% | 2.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
89.2% | 10.8% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
34.82% | 65.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.92% | 93.08% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 13.41% 4-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 10.58% 5-0 @ 9.69% 6-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.74% 1-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 4.53% 5-1 @ 4.15% 7-0 @ 3.33% 6-1 @ 2.63% 8-0 @ 1.58% 7-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.07% Total : 93.42% | 1-1 @ 2.39% 0-0 @ 1.47% 2-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.02% | Other @ 1.55% Total : 1.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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