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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Apr 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Ajax
2 - 1
Sparta

Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and we expect more of the same on Saturday. We fancy the hosts to secure a comfortable victory and continue their march towards a 36th league crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.43%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 1.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.74%) and 2-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.39%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
93.43%5.02%1.55%
Both teams to score 34.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.23%20.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.76%39.25%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.75%2.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.2%10.8%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.82%65.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.92%93.08%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 93.42%
    Sparta Rotterdam 1.55%
    Draw 5.02%
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
3-0 @ 13.41%
4-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 10.58%
5-0 @ 9.69%
6-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 5.74%
1-0 @ 5.57%
4-1 @ 5.45%
2-1 @ 4.53%
5-1 @ 4.15%
7-0 @ 3.33%
6-1 @ 2.63%
8-0 @ 1.58%
7-1 @ 1.43%
3-2 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 93.42%
1-1 @ 2.39%
0-0 @ 1.47%
2-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 5.02%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 1.55%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sparta

Ajax
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
Jan 19, 2020 1.30pm
Sep 1, 2019 1.30pm
Sparta
1-4
Ajax
Dervisoglu (75')
Rayhi (52'), Smeets (59')
Promes (25'), Ziyech (31', 60'), Tadic (58' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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