MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:05:47| >> :120:25952:25952:
AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
West Ham logo

AZ
0 - 1
West Ham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornals (90+4')
Soucek (60'), Kehrer (64')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United beat AZ Alkmaar 3-1 on aggregate - helped by a 1-0 win on Thursday night - to end their 47-year wait for a major European final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawWest Ham United
66.68% (-0.271 -0.27) 19.39% (0.119 0.12) 13.94% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.78% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-0.181 -0.18)42.52% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)64.92% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.124 -0.12)11.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.88% (-0.271 -0.27)37.12% (0.274 0.27)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (0.118 0.12)42.4% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.099999999999998 0.1)78.78% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 66.66%
    West Ham United 13.94%
    Draw 19.39%
AZ AlkmaarDrawWest Ham United
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 66.66%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.39%
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 13.94%

How you voted: AZ vs West Ham

AZ Alkmaar
43.8%
Draw
18.3%
West Ham United
37.9%
153
Head to Head
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
West Ham
2-1
AZ
Benrahma (67' pen.), Antonio (75')
Paqueta (57')
Reijnders (41')
de Wit (16'), Clasie (58'), Ryan (65')
rhs 2.0
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