We said: FC Koln 2-1 Partizan
Partizan have shown in this competition that they should not be underestimated, but we expect Koln to secure a narrow victory and strengthen their grip on Group D.
Baumgart's side will have gained confidence from their victory against Dortmund at the weekend, and have enough strength in depth to make changes while retaining quality.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Partizan win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.