MX23RW : Friday, July 26 20:12:23| >> :600:4963539:4963539:
Olympiacos
Europa Conference League | Final
May 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Fiorentina logo

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Fiorentina

El Kaabi (116')
Podence (28'), Jovetic (94'), Paschalakis (95'), El Kaabi (117')
FT
(aet)

Martinez (42'), Kouame (79'), Biraghi (99')

The Match

Match Report

Ayoub El Kaabi nets an extra-time winner to fire Olympiacos to a 1-0 victory over Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League final between Olympiacos and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
OlympiacosDrawFiorentina
39.19% (-1.432 -1.43) 25.22% (-0.26 -0.26) 35.59% (1.695 1.7)
Both teams to score 56.86% (1.227 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (1.446 1.45)46.76% (-1.445 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (1.341 1.34)69.02% (-1.337 -1.34)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.61% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-0.126 -0.13)57.68% (0.127 0.13)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (1.691 1.69)25.56% (-1.689 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (2.25 2.25)60.43% (-2.249 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 39.19%
    Fiorentina 35.59%
    Draw 25.22%
OlympiacosDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.565 -0.57)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.265 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.288 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.205 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.152 0.15)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Fiorentina

Olympiacos
55.7%
Draw
19.5%
Fiorentina
24.9%
406
rhs 2.0
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