Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.