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FA Cup
Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Liverpool logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Liverpool

Dunk (39'), Mitoma (90+2')
Dunk (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (30')
Bajcetic (17'), Konate (62'), Fabinho (86'), Robertson (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to end Liverpool's FA Cup title defence with a 2-1 win over the holders in the fourth round at the Amex Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Liverpool

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
34.18% (0.741 0.74) 24.01% (0.421 0.42) 41.81% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 60.91% (-1.311 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-1.812 -1.81)41.37% (1.809 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.863 -1.86)63.77% (1.86 1.86)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.437 -0.44)23.84% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.624 -0.62)58.02% (0.622 0.62)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-1.259 -1.26)20.01% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-2.064 -2.06)52.21% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.18%
    Liverpool 41.81%
    Draw 24%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.465 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.381 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.81%

How you voted: Brighton vs Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion
47.1%
Draw
13.0%
Liverpool
39.8%
261
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Brighton
3-0
Liverpool
March (47', 53'), Welbeck (81')
Dunk (17')

Matip (18'), Henderson (30'), Alexander-Arnold (65')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Liverpool
3-3
Brighton
Firmino (33', 54'), Webster (63' og.)
Trossard (4', 18', 83')
Estupinan (29')
Mar 12, 2022 12.30pm
Brighton
0-2
Liverpool

Bissouma (55'), Mac Allister (75'), Maupay (81')
Diaz (19'), Salah (61' pen.)
Fabinho (84')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Liverpool
2-2
Brighton
Henderson (4'), Mane (24')
Minamino (88'), Robertson (90+4')
Mwepu (41'), Trossard (65')
Lamptey (90'), Duffy (90+1')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Liverpool
0-1
Brighton

Wijnaldum (45')
Alzate (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
> Premier League Full Table


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