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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chesterfield

West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield

Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
57.38% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.29% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.782 0.78)50.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.692 0.69)72.02% (-0.69 -0.69)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.262 0.26)17.2% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.461 0.46)47.48% (-0.46 -0.46)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (0.66500000000001 0.67)40.16% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.6 0.6)76.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.38%
    Chesterfield 19.29%
    Draw 23.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Bromwich Albion
74.2%
Draw
16.7%
Chesterfield
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Chesterfield
3-3
West Brom
Williams (7'), Dobra (36', 41')
Quigley (64')
Thomas-Asante (2', 90+3'), Grant (17')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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