Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.