Friendlies 2
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg2 - 1Kazakhstan
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Luxembourg and Kazakhstan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Kazakhstan |
56.54% ( 0.7) | 23.93% ( -0.23) | 19.53% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
