MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:41:23| >> :60:107:107:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 18, 2023 at 1am UK
Lincoln Financial Field
Germany national football team

Mexico
2 - 2
Germany

Uriel (37'), Sanchez (47')
Alvarez (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rudiger (25'), Fullkrug (51')
Gosens (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up against Mexico in Tuesday's international friendly.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Ghana
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-2 Germany

 This will be a good test for both sides, and we are expecting Tuesday's contest to be extremely competitive. Mexico have players who can hurt Germany, and we are backing El Tri to score, but the Euro 2024 hosts should have enough quality to secure the win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mexico win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawGermany
28.57% (-0.36 -0.36) 24.21% (0.188 0.19) 47.23% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 57.42% (-0.901 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-1.073 -1.07)44.76% (1.075 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-1.043 -1.04)67.12% (1.045 1.05)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.80000000000001 -0.8)29.05% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-1.003 -1)64.96% (1.005 1.01)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.351 -0.35)19.08% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.588 -0.59)50.68% (0.59 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 28.57%
    Germany 47.23%
    Draw 24.2%
MexicoDrawGermany
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.253 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Mexico vs Germany

Mexico
45.6%
Draw
10.5%
Germany
43.9%
114
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2018 4pm
Group Stage
Germany
0-1
Mexico
Lozano (35')
> Match Report
Jun 29, 2017 7pm
Semi-Finals
Germany
4-1
Mexico
Goretzka (6', 8'), Werner (59'), Younes (90')
Can (72')
Fabian (90')
Jimenez (55')
> Match Report
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