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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 13
Dec 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Afula Illit Stadium

Hapoel Hadera
1 - 4
Maccabi Netanya

Gomes (68')
Trost (28'), Unger (86'), Shoolmayster (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ipole (42' og.), Bilu (45+1'), Galabov (51'), Balay (90')
Galabov (12'), Avraham (32'), Plakuschenko (79'), Jaber (90+2')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Hadera and Maccabi Netanya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 Hapoel Hadera
Wednesday, December 27 at 5pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Ashdod
Tuesday, December 26 at 5pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.

Result
Hapoel HaderaDrawMaccabi Netanya
21.98% (0.7 0.7) 23.56% (0.49 0.49) 54.46% (-1.19 -1.19)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.27 -1.27)47.66% (1.271 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.184 -1.18)69.85% (1.185 1.19)
Hapoel Hadera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)72.81% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Maccabi Netanya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)17.39% (0.883 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-1.568 -1.57)47.8% (1.569 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Hadera 21.98%
    Maccabi Netanya 54.46%
    Draw 23.55%
Hapoel HaderaDrawMaccabi Netanya
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.325 0.32)
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.26% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.98%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 2.45% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 54.46%

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