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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka


Tachi (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grolli (86')
Maejima (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka

While Shonan Bellmare will look to pick up from where they dropped off in midweek, they face a spirited Avispa Fukuoka side who have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks. However, Hasebe's men have struggled for results away from home and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
45.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 27.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 26.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (0.196 0.2)60.44% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (0.148 0.15)80.57% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.114 0.11)26.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.148 0.15)61.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.12 0.12)38.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.114 0.11)75.55% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 45.29%
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.75%
    Draw 27.94%
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.29%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka

Shonan Bellmare
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5am
Gameweek 5
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (90+6', 90+9')
Onose (73')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohno (40'), Yonemoto (88')
Watari (52')
May 7, 2022 9am
Gameweek 12
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (45'), Nakamura (89')
Segawa (8'), Nagaki (89'), Hata (90')
Segawa (45+2')
Sep 18, 2021 10am
Gameweek 29
Shonan Bellmare
1-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohashi (90+7')
Oiwa (28'), Barada (41'), Okamoto (55')
Juanma (30' pen.)
Watari (64'), Juanma (68')
May 22, 2021 9am
Gameweek 15
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Mendes (65'), Grolli (71')
Nara (57')
Nago (32')
Nakamura (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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