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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Hosoya (27')
Diego (58')
Tatsuta (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohno (90+3')
Yamamoto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare are the only side in the Japanese top flight without a clean sheet so far, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing Kashiwa Reysol to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
44.88% (0.223 0.22) 26.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.63%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.10199999999999 0.1)24.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.148 0.15)59.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.163 -0.16)34.77% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.174 -0.17)71.51% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%
    Shonan Bellmare 28.34%
    Draw 26.77%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Reysol
Sugioka (45+5')
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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