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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 10am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Higuchi (43')
Pituca (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Onose (12'), Ohno (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 4 at 9am in J1 League

We said: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Shonan Bellmare

Kashima has won four of their last five competitive home games, and we think that they will claim all three points against a Shonan Bellmare side that have lost three consecutive away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kashima Antlers.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawShonan Bellmare
56.38% (0.126 0.13) 24.37% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 19.24% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.48% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.51 -0.51)54.1% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.429 -0.43)75.52% (0.426 0.43)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)19.07% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.242 -0.24)50.67% (0.238 0.24)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (-0.52 -0.52)42.56% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (-0.449 -0.45)78.92% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 56.38%
    Shonan Bellmare 19.24%
    Draw 24.36%
Kashima AntlersDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13.45% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.24%

How you voted: Kashima Antlers vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashima Antlers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11am
gameweek 26
Shonan Bellmare
1-1
Kashima Antlers
Segawa (74')
Yonemoto (90+5')
Stum (59')
Mar 19, 2022 6am
gameweek 5
Kashima Antlers
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Ueda (49'), Alano (64')
Araki (53')
Segawa (16')
Tanaka (39')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
gameweek 23
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Kashima Antlers
Ohashi (13')
Inukai (29', 90+2')
Silva (67'), Nagato (89')
Mar 10, 2021 10am
gameweek 3
Kashima Antlers
3-1
Shonan Bellmare
Araki (3', 60'), Machida (89')
Misao (53')
Okamoto (86')
Ohno (73')
Sep 23, 2020 11am
gameweek 6
Kashima Antlers
1-0
Shonan Bellmare
Alano (90+4')
Koizumi (41'), Inukai (49')

Okamoto (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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