KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Mar 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
De Graafschap0 - 3Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-4 De Graafschap
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: De Graafschap 1-3 Ajax
The hosts head into this match in strong form and after an impressive victory at the weekend, but this could still prove to be too much for them. Ajax are one of the most dominant teams in the Eredivisie and should have enough quality to get through this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Ajax |
20.78% ( -0.01) | 20.62% ( -0) | 58.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
