Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
65.57% ( 1.51) | 21.59% ( -0.42) | 12.84% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 41.15% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.1% ( -0.52) | 53.9% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% ( -0.44) | 75.35% ( 0.44) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( 0.33) | 15.75% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( 0.6) | 44.86% ( -0.59) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.85% ( -2.05) | 51.15% ( 2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.55% ( -1.41) | 85.44% ( 1.41) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |