Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
29.55% | 28.27% | 42.18% |
Both teams to score 45.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.67% | 60.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.51% | 80.49% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.54% | 36.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.75% | 73.25% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% | 28.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% | 63.97% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |