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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz's win over Barcelona would have done so much for their confidence, and they will fancy their chances of causing Athletic problems on Thursday. The Basque outfit do not often lose on their travels, but they have not won too many either, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.72%28.27%42.01%
Both teams to score 45.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.73%60.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56%80.44%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7%36.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91%73.09%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68%28.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95%64.05%
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 29.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.01%
    Draw 28.27%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 12.97%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 8.18%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 42.01%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
32.6%
Draw
26.7%
Athletic Bilbao
40.7%
135
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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