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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Sociedad logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad

Atletico are again expected to be missing a number of important players, but it is difficult to back them to lose at the moment, especially at home. Real Sociedad would be in a strong position to finish in the top four with a point on Sunday, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
58.66% (-0.399 -0.4) 24.03% (0.205 0.2) 17.3% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 44.19% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.475 -0.48)55.38% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-0.39 -0.39)76.59% (0.39 0.39)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.325 -0.33)18.7% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.548 -0.55)50.05% (0.549 0.55)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)45.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)81.44% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.66%
    Real Sociedad 17.3%
    Draw 24.03%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 17.3%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid
65.0%
Draw
17.5%
Real Sociedad
17.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
gameweek 10
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
gameweek 36
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Carrasco (16'), Correa (28')
Zubeldia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao30168650282256
6Real Sociedad301310743311249
7Real BetisBetis31111283837145
8Valencia30128103332144
9Getafe31912103743-639
10Osasuna30116133643-739
11Villarreal30108124853-538
12Las PalmasLas Palmas30107132933-437
13AlavesAlaves3088142636-1032
14Sevilla30710133744-731
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3028203060-3014
20Almeria30110192860-3213


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