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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Osauna logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Osasuna

Aspas (69' pen.)
Lopez Gonzalez (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Osasuna

Celta are searching for their first home success over Osasuna since January 2022, and their record in front of their own fans this season should hand them a lot of confidence. Osasuna have found it difficult on their travels, but they have drawn six of their 11 games on the road, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a 1-1 draw on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawOsasuna
46.27% (-0.106 -0.11) 26.54% (0.02 0.02) 27.19% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.19% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.012 -0.01)76.43% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)23.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)57.99% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.57% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.068999999999999 0.07)72.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 46.27%
    Osasuna 27.19%
    Draw 26.53%
Celta VigoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.19%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Celta Vigo
51.7%
Draw
34.5%
Osasuna
13.8%
87
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
Osasuna
3-2
Celta Vigo
Boyomo (21'), Dominguez (45' og.), Bretones (62')
Torro (66'), Garcia (74')
Iglesias (29'), Gomez (90+1' og.)
Alfon (86')
Feb 4, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Osasuna
0-3
Celta Vigo

Garcia (12'), Barja (84')
Strand Larsen (24'), De la Torre (25'), Douvikas (90')
Aug 13, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
0-2
Osasuna

Nunez (30')
Garcia (24'), Gomez (74')
Torro (51')
Mar 6, 2023 8pm
Nov 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Celta Vigo
1-2
Osasuna
Aspas (19')
Avila (8', 28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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