Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
10.61% ( 0.11) | 16.87% ( 0.09) | 72.51% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% ( -0.09) | 39.46% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% ( -0.09) | 61.81% ( 0.09) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.09% ( 0.15) | 45.91% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.35% ( 0.11) | 81.65% ( -0.11) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.48% ( -0.07) | 9.52% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.09% ( -0.16) | 31.91% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.61% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.87% | 0-2 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 72.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |