Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.99% ( 0.02) | 28.16% ( 0.02) | 44.85% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.98% ( -0.04) | 61.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.99% ( -0.03) | 81.01% ( 0.03) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% ( 0) | 38.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.34% | 75.66% ( 0) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( -0.04) | 27.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% ( -0.05) | 62.56% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 13.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |