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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico


Samu (57'), Arrasate (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (61')
Lenglet (10'), Mandava (83'), Correa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Atletico
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

This is a meeting between the best two defences in La Liga, and we are not expecting many goals this weekend. It would not be a shock to see a 1-0 victory either way, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
26.99% (0.023 0.02) 28.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 44.85% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.02% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.01% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)38.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34%75.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)27.16% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)62.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.99%
    Atletico Madrid 44.85%
    Draw 28.16%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 13.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 44.85%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
16.3%
Draw
22.0%
Atletico Madrid
61.8%
123
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Mallorca
0-1
Atletico

Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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