MX23RW : Monday, October 21 23:16:06| >> :120:10083:10083:
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Lille

Atletico
vs.
Lille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Leganes
Sunday, October 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Lille
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We say: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Lille

Lille have lost the ball in their defensive third more often than any other side in the Champions League this season (20), while only two teams have won possession in that part of the pitch more often than Atletico Madrid, suggesting the hosts can make some high turnovers. While Atleti are still struggling at the back, they are also a formidable prospect on home turf, and their visitors do not tend to travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Lille has a probability of 27.79% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Lille win is 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLille
46.59% (2.904 2.9) 25.62% (-0.193 -0.19) 27.79% (-2.71 -2.71)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-1.018 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)51.28% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (-0.5 -0.5)73.11% (0.501 0.5)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (1.108 1.11)22% (-1.108 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (1.649 1.65)55.32% (-1.648 -1.65)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99% (-2.29 -2.29)33.01% (2.29 2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-2.621 -2.62)69.6% (2.622 2.62)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 46.58%
    Lille 27.79%
    Draw 25.62%
Atletico MadridDrawLille
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.6 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.707 0.71)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.481 0.48)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.154 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.228 0.23)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.489 -0.49)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.483 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.79%

Who will win Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico and Lille?

Atletico Madrid
Draw
Lille
Atletico Madrid
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Lille
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City86201991020
3Arsenal8521158717
4Aston Villa85211510517
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton84311410415
6Chelsea84221710714
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs8413189913
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest834186213
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle833288012
10Fulham83231111011
11Bournemouth83231010011
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd832379-211
13Brentford83141415-110
14Leicester CityLeicester82331214-29
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham82241115-48
16Everton8224915-68
17Ipswich TownIpswich8044616-104
18Crystal Palace8035511-63
19Southampton8017618-121
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves80171023-131


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