Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
24.17% ( 0.08) | 25.53% ( -0.19) | 50.29% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( 0.77) | 53.46% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.64) | 74.98% ( -0.65) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.5) | 37.21% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.49) | 74% ( -0.49) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.36) | 21.28% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% ( 0.55) | 54.2% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |