Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.55% ( 0.04) | 27.71% ( -0.01) | 35.74% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.85% ( 0.06) | 57.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 0.04) | 78.01% ( -0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.06) | 29.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.07) | 66.08% ( -0.07) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( 0.01) | 30.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( 0.01) | 66.69% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |