La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 1Espanyol
We said: Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol
This is a really tough match to call, as Sevilla will be missing some important players, and Espanyol have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks; it would not be a shock to see a draw, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Espanyol |
45.82% ( 0.08) | 27.26% ( -0) | 26.91% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
