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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Seddon (45+4')
Moon (34'), Nsiala (50'), Crocombe (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (51'), Davies (71')
Ferry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Burton may have lost out to Lincoln at the weekend, but they have won three of their previous five home matches, and we think they will draw upon that success to claim a narrow victory over a Cheltenham side that has lost their last three away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
32.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 39.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)56.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.023 0.02)68.52% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.96%
    Cheltenham Town 39.52%
    Draw 27.5%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.52%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
65.2%
Draw
27.3%
Cheltenham Town
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
0-0
Burton Albion
Ferry (88')
Sweeney (35'), Powell (44'), Oshilaja (50'), Crocombe (71')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Cheltenham
Akins (67')
Hamer (82'), Brayford (90+2')
Wright (28')
Lloyd (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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